gigerenzer gerd reckoning with risk learning to live with uncertainty
Gigerenzer Gerd Reckoning with Risk. Learning to Live with Uncertainty
Gerd Gigerenzer's Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty illustrates how we can learn to make sense of statistics and turn ignorance into insight. However much we want certainty in our lives, it feels as if we live in an uncertain and dangerous world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are we misled by our ignorance of the reality of risk? Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy, while statistics are often presented to us in highly confusing ways. With real world examples, such as the incidence of errors in tests for breast cancer or HIV, or in DNA fingerprinting, and the manipulation of statistics for evidence in court, he shows that our difficulty in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.
2605 Руб.
Gigerenzer Gerd How to Stay Smart in a Smart World. Why Human Intelligence Still Beats Algorithms
An essential guide to navigating our data-driven world, from the renowned psychologist and author of Risk Savvy Is more data always a good thing? Do algorithms really make better decisions than humans? Can we stay in control in an increasingly automated world? Drawing on decades of research into decision-making under uncertainty, Gerd Gigerenzer makes a compelling case for the enduring importance of human discernment in an automated world that we are told can - and will - replace our efforts. From dating apps and self-driving cars to facial recognition and the justice system, the increasing presence of AI has been widely championed - but there are limitations and risks too. Humans are the greatest source of uncertainty in these situations and Gigerenzer shows how, when people are involved, trust in complex algorithms can lead to illusions of certainty that become a recipe for disaster. We need, now more than ever, to arm ourselves with knowledge about how to make better decisions in a digital age Filled with practical examples and cutting-edge research, How to Stay Smart in a Smart World examines the growing role of AI at all levels of daily life with refreshing clarity. This book is a liferaft in a sea of information and an urgent invitation to actively shape the world in which we want to live.
5219 Руб.
Ocean. Ultimate Sticker Book
Bring the underwater world of oceans to life with Ocean Ultimate Sticker Book. With 250 reusable stickers, your child will discover all about marine life from whales and turtles to clownfish and tang, from jellyfish and octopus to seagulls and pelicans. Packed with fun facts for kids which support Key Stage 1 teaching, learn all about the ocean and the animals live in it with DK's eye-catching photographic stickers. Kids will enjoy spending hours completing the entertaining activities and learning all about the ocean with Ocean Ultimate Sticker Book.
1109 Руб.
Gardner Charlie Dinosaurs
Start a lifetime of learning with the First Facts series. First Facts Dinosaurs introduces children to the world of reading, with lively illustrations and simple text to help build confidence and development. Bursting with fun dino facts and figures, children will love flicking through and learning as they go. Questions such as what did dinosaurs eat? and where did dinosaurs live? are answered. Fun and educational, these books are perfect for home-reading where children can indulge in their interests - a valuable teaching aid for both parents and teachers.
1567 Руб.
Y is for Yak
Turn storytime into a fun learning experience with this charming alphabet book about yaks! Introduce your little one to these shaggy, long-horned creatures! This gorgeously illustrated children's book teaches kids yak-related first words beginning with the letter Y. This delightful little educational book is great for sharing with preschool animal lovers. - Clear, simple read-aloud text for young ones - Filled with wonderfully engaging full-colour illustrations - Each page provides an excellent introduction to key animal terms - Safe, sturdy board book for little hands Get ready to meet the mighty yak! The friendly, read-aloud text and exciting illustrations will capture the attention of young nature-lovers in no time. Babies and toddlers will love learning new words about yaks while practising their Y letter sound. This baby book is ideal for promoting early learning and language development. Y is for years! Did you know that yaks can live up to 25 years! Packed with bright pictures and short text, this engaging animal book provides curious children with lots to talk about and look at!
693 Руб.
Watson C. My First Encyclopedia. A Wealth of Knowledge at your Fingertips
You can introduce your child to the world of learning with this children's encyclopedia. The perfect introduction to encyclopedias for any child, My First Encyclopedia, is packed with easy-to-read words, detailed images and exciting topics to engage your child in learning in a new way. My First Encyclopedia is sorted into themes, to make finding information and learning new things easy. Entries are presented clearly, so children can understand the ideas whether you are reading with them or they are learning independently. With subjects that children will be familiar with, such as games and sports, pets, food we eat, and seasons and weather, this encyclopedia helps encourage and develop educational skills. Helpful notes to parents and teachers and fun learning tools like games and quizzes will also help to encourage an interactive learning experience. There's no better way for young readers to satisfy a thirst for knowledge than with My First Encyclopedia, making learning fun for you and your child.
707 Руб.
Watson C. My First Encyclopedia. A Wealth of Knowledge at your Fingertips
You can introduce your child to the world of learning with this children's encyclopedia. The perfect introduction to encyclopedias for any child, My First Encyclopedia, is packed with easy-to-read words, detailed images and exciting topics to engage your child in learning in a new way. My First Encyclopedia is sorted into themes, to make finding information and learning new things easy. Entries are presented clearly, so children can understand the ideas whether you are reading with them or they are learning independently. With subjects that children will be familiar with, such as games and sports, pets, food we eat, and seasons and weather, this encyclopedia helps encourage and develop educational skills. Helpful notes to parents and teachers and fun learning tools like games and quizzes will also help to encourage an interactive learning experience. There's no better way for young readers to satisfy a thirst for knowledge than with My First Encyclopedia, making learning fun for you and your child.
707 Руб.
Q is for Quokka
Turn storytime into a fun learning experience with this charming alphabet book about quokkas! Introduce your little one to quizzical quokkas! This gorgeously illustrated children's book teaches kids quokka-related first words beginning with the letter Q. This delightful little educational book is great for sharing with preschool animal lovers. - Clear, simple read-aloud text for young ones - Filled with wonderfully engaging full-colour illustrations - Each page provides an excellent introduction to key animal terms - Safe, sturdy board book for little hands Spend some quality time with quokkas! The friendly, read-aloud text and exciting illustrations will capture the attention of young nature-lovers in no time! Babies and toddlers will love learning new words about quokkas while practising their Q letter sound. This baby book is ideal for promoting early learning and language development. Q is for quokka! Did you know that quokkas live in Australia? You'll find most of them on Rottnest Island! Packed with bright pictures and short text, this engaging animal book provides curious children with lots to talk about and look at!
746 Руб.
Evans Diana Ordinary People
Two couples find themselves at a moment of reckoning. Melissa has a new baby and doesn't want to let it change her. Damian has lost his father and intends not to let it get to him. Michael is still in love with Melissa but can't quite get close enough to her to stay faithful. Stephanie just wants to live a normal, happy life on the commuter belt with Damian and their three children, but his bereavement is getting in the way. Set in London to an exhilarating soundtrack, Ordinary People is an intimate study of identity and parenthood, sex and grief, friendship and ageing, and the fragile architecture of love.
2179 Руб.
Help with Homework: Writing Year 2, age 7+
Refreshed with new content and artwork to support the September 2014 National Curriculum changes, these workbooks link school and home learning for pupils in Year One. With an additional guide to help parents with the curriculum changes, the workbooks offer a fun, interactive way to further school learning at home.
381 Руб.
Adding & Subtracting. Year 1. Sticker workbook
Refreshed with new content and artwork to support the September 2014 National Curriculum changes, these workbooks link school and home learning for pupils in Year One. With an additional guide to help parents with the curriculum changes, the workbooks offer a fun, interactive way to further school learning at home.
380 Руб.
Adding & Subtracting. Year 2. Sticker workbook
Refreshed with new content and artwork to support the September 2014 National Curriculum changes, these workbooks link school and home learning for pupils in Year One. With an additional guide to help parents with the curriculum changes, the workbooks offer a fun, interactive way to further school learning at home.
380 Руб.
Help with Homework. Spelling
Refreshed with new content and artwork to support the September 2014 National Curriculum changes, these workbooks link school and home learning for pupils in Year One. With an additional guide to help parents with the curriculum changes, the workbooks offer a fun, interactive way to further school learning at home.
360 Руб.
Peck M. The Road Less Travelled And Beyond. Spiritual Growth in an Age of Anxiety
The culmination of a lifetime of counselling, lecturing and writing, M. Scott Pecks major work leads us to a deeper awareness of how to live rich, fulfilling lives in a world fraught with stress, worry and anxiety. Writing with a depth of understanding that comes with the seasoned perspective of age, Dr Peck continues the journey of spiritual growth that began with The Road Less Travelled, one of the most influential personal development books of modern times. To the famous opening line of that book - Life is difficult he now adds Life is complex. But the greatest challenge, he reminds us, is to learn to deal with lifes conflicts, problems and paradoxes to find the true simplicity that lies on the other side of complexity. The journey to serenity and inner peace, Dr Peck writes, can only be made with increasing self-awareness and social awareness. There are no easy answers for complex problems. The work of learning and spiritual growth is hard. And yet he shows us that there is a way to think with integrity, to know the difference between good and evil, to overcome narcissism, to love and be loved, to live with paradox, to accept the consequences of our actions all through life, and to come to terms with dying and death.
1465 Руб.
Peck M. The Road Less Travelled And Beyond. Spiritual Growth in an Age of Anxiety
The culmination of a lifetime of counselling, lecturing and writing, M. Scott Pecks major work leads us to a deeper awareness of how to live rich, fulfilling lives in a world fraught with stress, worry and anxiety. Writing with a depth of understanding that comes with the seasoned perspective of age, Dr Peck continues the journey of spiritual growth that began with The Road Less Travelled, one of the most influential personal development books of modern times. To the famous opening line of that book - Life is difficult he now adds Life is complex. But the greatest challenge, he reminds us, is to learn to deal with lifes conflicts, problems and paradoxes to find the true simplicity that lies on the other side of complexity. The journey to serenity and inner peace, Dr Peck writes, can only be made with increasing self-awareness and social awareness. There are no easy answers for complex problems. The work of learning and spiritual growth is hard. And yet he shows us that there is a way to think with integrity, to know the difference between good and evil, to overcome narcissism, to love and be loved, to live with paradox, to accept the consequences of our actions all through life, and to come to terms with dying and death.
1465 Руб.
H is for Hedgehog
Turn storytime into a fun learning experience with this charming alphabet book about hedgehogs! Introduce your little one to adorable hedgehogs! This gorgeously illustrated children's book teaches kids hedgehog-related first words beginning with the letter H. This delightful little educational book is great for sharing with preschool animal lovers. - Clear, simple read-aloud text for young ones - Filled with wonderfully engaging full-colour illustrations - Each page provides an excellent introduction to key animal terms - Safe, sturdy board book for little hands Spend the day with adorable and spiky hedgehogs! The friendly, read-aloud text and exciting illustrations will capture the attention of young nature-lovers in no time! Babies and toddlers will love learning new words about hedgehogs while practising their H letter sound. This baby book is ideal for promoting early learning and language development. H is for home! Did you know that some hedgehogs live in hedgerows in the countryside? Packed with bright pictures and short text, this engaging animal book provides lots to talk about and look at for curious children!
746 Руб.